Wednesday, 31 July 2013

GBP/USD ANALYSIS 8/1/2013

TECHNICAL STUDIES: DAILY PIVOT POINT, MOVING AVERAGES, BOLLINGER BANDS, RSI, FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT 

Price opened above pivot point today so it is initially bullish sign but it has dropped below pivot point at the time of typing this analysis. SMA5 has made dead cross with SMA10, price is below SMA5,10 & 15. Price has dropped below long term averages SMA50&100 so moving averages are bearish.
Cable has tested middle band and is above middle band, but it looks weak weak support. Bollinger bands are contracting, RSI is below its midpoint. 61.8% FIB of 1.575-1.4812 proved strong resistance, fall from there could not get support on 50%, price fell below 38% but didnot close under it. So I will be looking this leve 1.5168.
FIB 1.4811-1.5432, its 50% level 1.5119 is also one important level for today.
Overall I am bearish today.

Important levels to watch today
Support 1.5168,1.5119,  

CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com

Sunday, 28 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/29/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD

TECHNICAL STUDIES: DAILY PIVOT POINTS, MOVING AVERAGES, BOLLINGER BANDS, RSI, FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT 

DAILY PIVOT POINTS: PP 1.5381, Price opened below PP so it is bearish.
Moving Averages 5,10&15: SMA5 1.5360, SMA10 1.5301, SMA1.5218. SMA10 is untested for 9 days.
SMA5 is straight, SMA10&15 are moving in upward direction.
Moving Averages50,100&200: SMA50&100 are supporting price and SMA200 is providing resistance and it is dropping.
Bollinger Bands: Price is above middle band, Bollinger Bands are expanding.
RSI: RSI is at 55 and droping.
Fibonacci Retracement: price is between fib 61&50%.
BIAS: Keeping in view price below PP and has opened around SMA5. SMA10 is also untested for 9 days so technically I am bearish on this pair.

FUNDAMENTAL: GBP USD NEWS

GBP:
Net Lending to individuals m/m expected 1.4B
M4 Money Supply m/m expected 0.2%
Mortgage Approvals expected 60K
CBI Realised Sales expected 11

RISK: There are some high profile news release this week and will heavily influence direction of market.

CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com



Friday, 26 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/26/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD

TECHNICAL STUDIES: DAILY PIVOT POINTS, MOVING AVERAGES, BOLLINGER BANDS, RSI, FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT:

DAILY PIVOT POINT: Price opened 1.5388 above pivot point 1.5361.So it is bullish start.
MOVING AVERAGES(5,10,15): SMA5 1.5359, SMA10 1.5274, SMA15 1.5190. SMA 5,10& 15 are below price and are moving in upward direction. SMA10 is untested for 7 days.
MOVING AVERAGES(50,100,200): SMA50 1.5293, SMA100 1.5280 ae below price and are providing support. SMA200 1.5565 is resistance. 
BOLLINGER BANDS: Bollinger Bands are expanding , upper band is moving higher and lower band is moving lower.
RSI: RSI is at 56. 
FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT: 1.5748-1.4812. yesterday price broke 61.8% resistance and closed below it. At the moment it is below 61.8% resistance. 
BIAS: My bias is bullish today.
RISK: 61.8% fib has proved strong resistance, price has to break it to continue its upward direction.
CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com

Thursday, 25 July 2013

DAILY DAY END FOREX REVIEW 7/25/2013

PAIR:GBPUSD

TECHNICAL REVIEW: 

Today price opened at 1.5311 below PP made low of 1.5261, and high of 1.5432. Although it broke 1.54 resistance but closed below it.

FUNDAMENTAL REVIEW:

GBP: GDP data was released of UK. It was 0.6% as forecast 
USD: Core durable goods order at 0.0% against forecast of 0.5%
USD: Unemployment claims at 343K against forecast 339K
USD: Durable goods order m/m at 4.2% against forecast of 1.1% 

CONCLUSION:

In my view GBP long is favorable as British economy is showing signs of improvement.
USD strength is coming from taper expectations, in my point of view data don't support early taper.
Technically GBPUSD is above bollinger bands, daily RSI is above 50, most of moving averages I follow are below price, so i am bullish on GBPUSD.

CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com

Wednesday, 24 July 2013

DAILY DAY END FOREX REVIEW 7/24/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD
TECHNICAL REVIEW:
Today it opened at 1.5365, made high of 1.5389 and low of  1.5287. It got resistance from 61.8% fib level and was supported at 50% fib of 1.575-1.4812. Support was also provided by 50d average at 1.5287.
There is event risk of preliminary British GDP data tomorrow. Only good data can support price and will take it above 61.8% fib.
Today range: 100 pips.
FUNDAMENTAL REVIEW:
GBP:
CBI Industrial order expectation data was released today, it was -12 as expected. It was medium impact data and came as expected so could not support GBP.
USD:
There were 3 fundamental news in USD, Flash Manufacturing PMI was 53.2 against expected 52.5
New Home Sales 497K against expected 482K.
Crude Oil Inventries -2.8M against -2.5M expected.
Fundamentals supported USD.
CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com

ANNOUNCEMENT

FROM TODAY I WILL BE DOING END OF DAY REVIEW OF MARKET. WILL ANALYSE MARKET BEHAVIOR AND MY ANALYSIS.
IN TECHNICAL STUDY ADDITION OF FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT  WILL BE ADDED.
I WILL ALSO ADD FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS TO MY DAILY REPORT.

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/23/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD

TECHNICAL STUDIES: Daily Pivot Points, Moving Averages(5,10,15,50,100,200), Bollinger Bands, RSI.

Daily Pivot Points: PP 1.5362. Open 1.5365. It opened today just above pivot point, so I am neutral from pivot point.
Moving Averages (5,10,20): SMA5 1.5315, SMA10 1.5223, SMA15 1.5140. Moving averages are below price, and are moving in upward direction SMA5&SMA10 have crossed middle band. SMA5 is untested for last 3 days.
Moving Averages(50,100,200): SMA50 1.5288, SMA100 1.5273, SMA200 1.5573. SMA50&100 are below price and are providing support, SMA200 is resistance.
Bollinger Bands:  Bollinger Bands are expanding, upper band in upward direction and lower band in lower direction. middle band is still straight. Price is above middle band so it is bullish.
RSI: RSI is 57 and its bullish.
Bias: My bias is technically Bullish as price is supported by SMA5,10,15,50,100, and middle bollinger band.
Risk:  Yesterday it did not move much, remained between PP & R1. And opened just at PP. So is it losing bullish momentum? I have to see today.
Trade Plan:
Bullish above: 1.5400
Bearish below:1.5334
CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com

Monday, 22 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/23/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD

TECHNICAL STUDIES: Daily Pivot Points, Moving Averages (5,10,15,50,100,200), Bollinger Bands, RSI.

Daily Pivot Points: PP 1.5333, R1 15.409, S1 1.5283. price opened above pivot point so it is bullish today. 
Moving Averages: SMA5 1.5281, SMA10 1.5195, SMA15 1.5132 are rising and providing support. SMA50 1.5285, SMA100 1.5289 are below price providing support. SMA200 1.5577 is resistant point. 
Bollinger Bands:  Price is above middle band so it is bullish. 
RSI: RSI reading is 56 in bullish zone.
BIAS: Today my bias is bullish.
Risk: Technically i don't see any risk today. SMA200 can provide strong resistance but we might not test it today.
Trade Plan:
Buy above 1.5409
sell below 1.5283
CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com


Sunday, 21 July 2013

DEAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/22/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD
Technical Studies: Daily Pivot Points, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, RSI,
Daily Pivot Point: PP 1.5244, Open 1.5268, above pivot so bullish start.
Moving Averages: SMA5 1.5223, SMA10 1.5137,SMA15 1.5113. SMA's are moving in upward direction. SMA10 has 4 days laging. SMA5 has golden crossover with SMA10, SMA15 and SMA20. SMA's are bullish.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are contracting, uper, middle and lower all are in straight direction. Bollinger Bands are neutral
RSI: RSI reading 52, so RSI is bullish.
Overall bias: Bullish.
Risks: SMA 50,100 can provide resistance.
Trade Plan:
Bullish above:1.5293
Bearish below:1.5208
CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com


Friday, 19 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/19/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD

Technical Studies: Daily Pivot Point,Moving Averages,Bollinger Bands,RSI

Daily Pivot Point: Price opened above pivot point.
Moving Averages: SMA5 1.5173, SMA10 1.5097 ,SMA15 1.5104, all SMA's are below price and are moving in upward direction.
Bollinger Bands: price is above middle band, bollinger bands are contracting.
RSI: RSI is at 50.
Bias: My bias is developing bullish, but still their is downward risk.
Trade Plan.
Bulllish above: 1.5253
Bearish below:1.5167
CONTACT: newtraders01@gmail.com

Wednesday, 17 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/18/2013

Pair: GBPUSD

Technical studies: Daily Pivot Point, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, RSI.

Daily Pivot Points: Cable opened above pivot point.
Moving Averages: SMA 5,10&15 are below price and moving in straight direction. SMA5 1.5153, SMA10 1.5105, SMA15 1.5066.
Bollinger Bands: Price is above middle band. Lower band is moving upward, while upper and middle are downward. Bollinger Bands are contracting.
RSI: 49.
Bias: Daily bias is neutral. 
If price goes above 1.5293 I will be bullish, and f it goes below 1.5104 I will be bearish
Contact: newtraders01@gmail.com

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/17/2013


Pair: GBPUSD

Technical Studies: Daily Pivot Points, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index.
Daily Pivot Point: Cable opened above pivot point 1.5122.
Moving Averages 5,10&15: SMA5 1.5140, SMA10 1.5047& SMA15 1.5105.  There is golden cross on SMA5&10, and new golden cross has developed on SMA5&15. 
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are contracting, lower band is moving upward, while upper and middle are lower.
Relative Strength Index:  RSI is at 49, and moving upward
Bullish momentum is developing, but still need to mature. 
Trade Plan: 
Bulish above:1.5201
Bearish below:1.5077
Contact: newtraders01@gmail.com


Tuesday, 16 July 2013

Daily Forex Analysis 7/16/2013

Pair: GBPUSD
Technical Studies: Daily Pivot Points, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index.
GBPUSD opened at 1.5098, above Daily Pivot Point, SMA5 is it 1.5095, SMA10 is at 1.5051, and SMA15 1.5111 cable is trading above SMA5&10 and below SMA15. Golden cross has developed on SMA5 & 10.
Bollinger Bands are contracting, lower band is straight, upper and middle bands moving downward. Price is below middle band.
RSI is at 44.
Overall its bearish today but golden cross in SMA5&10 if sustains is initial sign of bullish momentum developing.
Trading Plan
Bearish below:1.5042
Bullish above:1.5142
Contact: newtraders01@gmail.com

Monday, 15 July 2013

ANNOUNCEMENT

Moving averages and bollinger bands technical study will be added to our daily Forex analysis from tomorrow.
contact: newtraders01@gmail.com

Types of trading and various trading strategies

Trading is the central activity in all markets, be it the forex, commodities, equities or the bonds and treasuries market. Literally, the word “trading” means “an exchange of goods and services with money or money’s worth.” In terms of financial markets, trading indicates an act of buying and selling of financial assets/securities in order to make profits over a certain period of time. There are various kinds of trading practices that investors follow while carrying out a financial transaction. Three types of trading stand out as the main trading systems, and various trading strategies are associated with each of them.
The three major types of trading are
  1. Day Trading
  2. Swing Trading
  3. Position Trading
While day trading and swing trading are short-term in nature, positional trading is of longer-term duration. Each of them serves a different purpose and suits different investor types.
1.      Day trading
Day trading is a type of trading wherein traders buy or sell currencies for a single day in the hope of making desired profits. Day traders always close their trades within the same day, which minimizes risks associated with overnight movements in the market. By the end of the day, they exit with whatever profits or losses they have. The main objective of a day trader is to earn quick benefits from small price movements on an intra-day basis. There are four types of trading strategies that a day trader practices.
Scalping: Scalpers are concerned with only small changes in quotes. They put large orders at a certain level and after a small gain, let’s say 10 to 20 pips, they immediately reverse the position and exit. Scalpers believe that small moves in quotes are easier to capture than large ones. They also believe that by taking advantage of small moves in large positions, they can multiply profits.
Fading: Fading is a risky trading strategy wherein an investor trades against the prevailing market direction. The investor buys in times of declining prices and sells when the prices are increasing. The underlying psychology of a fade-trader is to take advantage of any price reversal because after a sharp decline or rise in the currency, it is bound to have show some reversals. This type of trading is extremely risky but is advantageous as well. It offers handsome amounts of return when it works. Fade-traders are often considered greedy, but generally they are simply risk takers. They follow strict risk management rules which offer specified fixed risks.

Daily Pivot: This type of trading strategy is based on a statistical tool called the pivot table. This table determines the pivot point, supports and resistances for the current movement. A trader then identifies the market movement and trades accordingly. The following are formulas which calculate pivot points:
Pivot Point for Current Price Level = High + Low + Close (previous)
3
Resistance 1 = (2 x Pivot Point) – Low (previous period) 
Support 1 = (2 x Pivot Point) – High (previous period)
Resistance 2 = (Pivot Point – Support 1) + Resistance 1 
Support 2 = Pivot Point – (Resistance 1 – Support 1)
Resistance 3 = (Pivot Point – Support 2) + Resistance 2 
Support 3 = Pivot Point – (Resistance 2 – Support 2)                                   

Pivot traders need to strictly use risk management tools to be successful. For example, if a trader generates a buy position at the current price, he/she uses the closest support as the stop-loss, while the target price is determined by the closest resistance. Pivot traders are dependent on statistical calculations and work more like machines than following a rationale behind the movement. In volatile markets, there is a higher chance of the stop-loss being triggered, which is why this strategy is more suitable for less volatile markets.
Momentum trading: The last type of trading strategy for day trading is one which rides on the ongoing movement in the market. Traders take a buy position when a currency is rising and sell when it is declining. They identify currency pairs which are moving significantly in one direction and trade accordingly. They use various momentum indicators, like the momentum oscillator, RSI, MACD, etc. in order to identify the strength of the current movement and decide whether to take positions and in which direction.
 2.      Swing Trading:
Like day trading, swing trading is another type of short-term trading. The basic difference between swing trading and day trading is the time frame: While day trading is limited to a single day, swing trading often stretches over more than one day in order to take advantage of quote swings. Similar to day trading, investors don’t hold positions long-term and don’t calculate in a long-term scenario. The time frame for swing trading may be an hour, a day or maximum a couple of days. Swing traders generally target higher profits than day traders. At the same time risks – especially those associated with holding positions overnight – are higher. Generally, three different swing trading strategies are distinguished.
Breakout trading: Breakout trading takes advantage of breakouts on charts. The breakouts can be small, like the high on an intraday chart, or they may be huge breakouts on daily, weekly and monthly charts. A breakout trader looks at the breakout point, asses if and when a currency quote witnesses those breakouts, and then takes their position and put the target close to next support or resistance level. They also maintain strict stop-loss points close to the breakout point which reduces their risk in times of adverse price movements.
Retracement trading: Another trading strategy for swing traders is retracement trading. The underlying technical indicator used for retracement trading is the Fibonacci Retracement. It is a mathematical calculation showing the retracement levels based on the Fibonacci ratios of 0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%. Fibonacci retracements are horizontal lines which indicate supports or resistances of the current trend. They are calculated by first locating turning points in the given chart: One needs to find the highest level and the lowest level of the quote during the specified time period. Then a line is drawn from the high to the low or the other way round. Six lines are drawn at different Fibonacci levels: 100% indicates the start of the move while 0% indicates the reversing point. 23.6%, 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% indicate the various support or resistance levels. The basic idea behind retracement trading is that when a price rises to a certain level and starts correcting, chances are high that it will test the previous levels.
Reversal trading: Reversal trading works when the market moves within a certain range. For example, if a currency quote starts facing selling pressure after testing highs, the quote is expected to test the lower levels again. Trader takes short position while the currency pair reverses from the high levels with the high being the stop-loss point. They take sell positions when the currency pair starts reversing from the lowest level in a range with the stop-loss being the low of the range.
 3. Positional Trading:
The last type of trading practice is positional trading. Positional traders look for benefits from price movements over a comparatively longer time than swing or day traders. They generally hold their positions from days to weeks and sometimes for months as well. One of the keys to positional trading is to identify currency pairs which promise large movements. Positional trading always depends upon a mixture of fundamental and technical analysis. Positional traders always look for the longer-term effect of fundamental factors and then use technical analysis to decide the entry and exit points for the currency pair. In comparison to the other two types, positional traders expect a higher profit, while at the same time different risks are associated with the longer holding period.
This list of trading types and associated strategies is not exhaustive. However, the three most common trading practices – day trading, swing trading and positional trading – offer many opportunities for both beginners and experienced traders. Pivot trading – which mostly requires statistical formula that are generally built-in in many trading platforms – and retracement trading are some of the simpler strategies that are suitable for beginners. Reversal trading, breakout trading, scalping and fading, on the other hand, require a lot more skill and increased efforts from traders and therefore are generally practiced by more experienced market players. Positional trading is a blend of fundamental and technical analysis which takes traders a long time to practice and perfect. Not only level of experience and planned effort, but also the planning horizon should play a role in picking the right trading strategy: Positional trading are suitable for long-term investment strategies, while day trading and swing trading suit short-term investors better.
Information source: web
Contact: newtraders01@gmail.com

Sunday, 14 July 2013

Daily Forex Analysis 7/15/2013

Pair: GBPUSD
Technical studies: Daily Pivot Points, RSI
Pair closed below pivot point so initial bias is bearish, we will look to sell it below 1.5054, and purchase above 1.5167. Current price 1.5106
RSI reading is 44 that is bearish.
Contact us: newtraders01@gmail.com

Thursday, 11 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/12/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD
TECHNICAL STUDY: DAILY PIVOT POINTS, RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX.
Today PIVOT POINT is 1.5133 and initial bias is bullish, RSI reading is 48 and bearish but 2 points higher and it will be in bullish zone.
TRADE PLAN:
Bullish above 1.5270
Bearish below 1.5044 

RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX

Developed J. Welles Wilder, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. RSI oscillates between zero and 100. Traditionally, and according to Wilder, RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30.. Signals can also be generated by looking for divergences, failure swings and centerline crossovers. RSI can also be used to identify the general trend.




FROM NEWTRADERSGOLD BLOG

FIRST SMELTING OF GOLD 3000BC

Egyptian goldsmiths carry out the first melting or fusing of ores in order to separate the metals inside. They use blowpipes made from fire-resistant clay to heat the smelting furnace.

Visit newtradersgold blog at newtradersgold

ANNOUNCEMENT

From tomorrow onward we will add technical study of relative strength index to our DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS.  

Wednesday, 10 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/11/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD
TECHNICAL STUDY: DAILY PIVOT POINTS.
PP: 1.4955
S1: 1.4894
S2: 1.4784
S3: 1.4723
R1: 1.5065
R2: 1.5126
R3: 1.5236
OPEN: 1.5013
INITIAL BIAS BULLISH
BULLISH ABOVE 1.5065
BEARISH BELOW 1.4894


Tuesday, 9 July 2013

DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS 7/10/2013

PAIR: GBPUSD
TECHNICAL STUDY: PIVOT POINTS
TODAY PIVOT POINT IS 1.4885, AND OPEN PRICE IS 1.4871 LOWER THEN PP,BEARISH SIGNAL.
CURRENT PRICE IS AT 1.4865. INITIAL DAILY BIAS IS BEARISH
SELL BELOW 1.4790
BUY ABOVE 1.4958

Monday, 8 July 2013

PRODUCTS

We offer courses on following areas.
  1. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
  2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
  3. WEALTH MANAGEMENT 
  4. FOREX MARKET
  5. STOCK MARKET
  6. COMODITY MARKET

ABOUT US

New traders is trading and investment firm in financial markets specialising in forex, stock and comodities.
It is based in Mirpur Khas 4th largest city of SINDH.
New Traders is 1st of its kind in Mirpur Khas.

CONTACT
New Traders
Mustafa Shoping Centre
Opposite Bagh-e-Nazir Hussain
Mirpur Khas SINDH
CALL: 00923362838615

Thursday, 4 July 2013

Technical analysis

Technical analysis is the study of past financial market data, primarily through the use of charts, to forcast price trends and market investment decesions.

Threre are three premises on which the technical approach is based.

  1. Market action dscounts everything
  2. prices move in trends
  3. history repeats itself

Tuesday, 2 July 2013

UK official bank rate jun2008-jun2013

Ofiicial bank rate of UK for last 5 years from june 2008- june 2013 
High 5%
Low 0.5%
Average 1%

Official bank rate of UK for last 3 years from june 2010- june 2013
High 0.5%
Low 0.5%
Average 0.5%

Official bank rate of UK for last 1 year from june 2012- june 2013
High 0.5%
Low 0.5%
Average 0.5%